Here is a list of topics covered and all written assignments for the course as well as a dynamic listing of what was actually planned and covered in the lecture. Remember: Your work on assignments should be neatly presented---if you can't write legibly, then figure out a way to type it---and submitted on Canvas.
Date Chapter.Section/Topics or Page/Problems
T Aug 22 Lecture "-2" base rate fallacy
Assignment 1 Due Tuesday September 12, 2023
Assignment 2 Due Tuesday September 19, 2023
Assignment 2 (corrected version)
Assignment 2 (second corrected version)
Th 24 Lecture "-1" measure
T 29 Lecture 0 events and outcomes
Assignment 3 Due Tuesday October 3, 2023
Th 31 Lecture 1 sets, functions, and measures
T Sept 5 Lecture 1 (continued) sets and functions
Th 7 Lecture 1 (continued) measures
T 12 Lecture 1 (continued and reviewed) integration
Lecture 2 Some basic baby measures: binomial measure
Assignment 4 = Exam 1 Due Tuesday October 17, 2023
Assignment 1 due
Th 14 Lecture 2
Assignment 2 Problem 4
T 19 Assignment 2 Problems 1-3
Th 21 Assignment 2 Problems 1-3 continued
Mean value of the geometric distribution (integral calculation)
T 26 Series and the Poisson distribution
Review of binomial distribution
Poisson distribution as limit of binomial distribution(s) (project) by Jeremy Mahoney
Assignment 5 Due Tuesday October 24, 2023
Th 28 measures on discrete measure spaces (review)
Poisson measure and the calculation of means
T Oct 3 Counting and Cartesian products
Counting and probability (dice, cards, urns)
Th 5 Counting and the permutation bijection problem
urn problems and project measures
T Oct 10 Fall Break
Th 12 Projects and Birthdays (project)
T 17 Continuous distributions/integral measures
Th 19 Continuous distributions; mean and variance
Bayes' Theorem Presentation by Matthew Buchan
T 24 Percentage/portion of a distribution falling within a multiple of the standard deviation from the mean
Introduction to R probject by Mika Okamoto
Ineractive R tutorial in R by Mika Okamoto
Assignment 6 Due Tuesday November 7, 2023
Th 26 Binomial Distribution Project by David Chan
T 31 Overview of Statistics
Construction of a non-measurable set (project) by Keegan Thompson (See Assignment 10)
Assignment 7 Due Tuesday November 14, 2023
Assignment 8 Due Tuesday November 21, 2023
Th Nov 2 A little calculus (Frank Qiang's problem---see main course page)
Review of Overview of Statistics---What is a statistic?
Election polling project (vague proposal)
T 7 Statistics (Lecture 8 and Lecture 7)
Pseudorandom number generators (project) by Arjun Bhamra
Chebyshev's inequality (project) by Ansel Erol
15 wfrn probability problem by Ansel Erol original handwritten version
Th 9
Cuboidal Dice (project) by Anthony The
Liar's Dice (project) by Mattias Larsson
Liar's Dice (final draft)
Liar's Dice (General)Liar's Dice (5 players)
T 14
Random Walk (project) by Sena Ghobadi
Normal Distribution (project) by Sean Peng
Assignment 9 Due Tuesday December 5, 2023
Th 16
Sun and Rain Probability (project) by Uma Anand
Probability of winning with a 5 card Poker hand (project) by Ben Skelton Slides
T 21 Office Hour
Th Nov 23 Thanksgiving Holiday
T 28
Machine Learning (project) by Girish Jayakumer
Final Assignment Due Tuesday December 12, 2023
Th 30
Matching Birthdays (project) by Dahyun Hong and Shaambav Dave Slides
Numbers attached to associations (project) by Ben Hellman
T Dec 5 Last class meeting
Sample deviation (project) Matthew Buchan
Texas Poker (project) by Victor Henriksson
Black Jack (project) by Akaash Parthasarathy
Dependence of probability on geometry: dice simulation (project) by Danny Schultz
Monte Hall Problem (project) by Koji Shimada
T Dec 12 Final Exam (2:40-5:30)
Chebyshev's inequality (project) by Hannah Glamm
Chebyshev's inequality (project) by John McCuan
Election Polling (project) by Reese Wang
Statistics of Music League (project) by Koji Shimada
Monty Hall (project) by Jonathan Huang Python simulation
Regression by Tanush Chopra video
Regression by Pranav Viswanath
Markov Chains by Anirudh Vetukuri
Surprise by Andrew Meyer
Python by Samarth Parameswar
Spatial Statistics by Zhengxuan Deng
Number Games by Sena Ghobadi movie